Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000100 0.000112 0.000125 0.000140 0.000156 0.000174 0.000195
2024-10-06 0.000084 0.000100 0.000118 0.000140 0.000167 0.000197 0.000235
2024-10-13 0.000070 0.000089 0.000111 0.000139 0.000174 0.000217 0.000272
2024-10-20 0.000061 0.000081 0.000106 0.000140 0.000183 0.000239 0.000315
2024-10-27 0.000055 0.000075 0.000102 0.000141 0.000193 0.000262 0.000361
2024-11-03 0.000048 0.000069 0.000097 0.000139 0.000198 0.000279 0.000399
2024-11-10 0.000044 0.000065 0.000095 0.000141 0.000209 0.000305 0.000452
2024-11-17 0.000039 0.000061 0.000092 0.000140 0.000214 0.000323 0.000495
2024-11-24 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000141 0.000222 0.000344 0.000545
2024-12-01 0.000033 0.000053 0.000086 0.000139 0.000226 0.000360 0.000587
2024-12-08 0.000030 0.000050 0.000083 0.000138 0.000230 0.000377 0.000632
2024-12-15 0.000027 0.000047 0.000080 0.000137 0.000235 0.000396 0.000679
2024-12-22 0.000025 0.000045 0.000078 0.000137 0.000242 0.000417 0.000737
2024-12-29 0.000023 0.000043 0.000076 0.000138 0.000249 0.000441 0.000798
2025-01-05 0.000021 0.000040 0.000074 0.000137 0.000253 0.000459 0.000852
2025-01-12 0.000020 0.000039 0.000072 0.000137 0.000261 0.000484 0.000922
2025-01-19 0.000019 0.000037 0.000071 0.000138 0.000269 0.000511 0.000997
2025-01-26 0.000017 0.000035 0.000069 0.000137 0.000272 0.000528 0.001053
2025-02-02 0.000016 0.000034 0.000068 0.000139 0.000283 0.000561 0.001145
2025-02-09 0.000015 0.000032 0.000066 0.000138 0.000287 0.000581 0.001211
2025-02-16 0.000014 0.000031 0.000065 0.000139 0.000294 0.000608 0.001293
2025-02-23 0.000013 0.000030 0.000063 0.000137 0.000296 0.000625 0.001357
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000028 0.000061 0.000136 0.000300 0.000645 0.001428